Thorbjorn Waagstein

Thorbjorn Waagstein

Thorbjørn Waagstein, Economist, PhD, since 1999 working as international Development Consultant in Latin America, Africa and Asia.

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Disinformation campaigns are unfortunately normal parts of political rivalry, and they are certainly even more prominent during wars. Successful disinformation can be a powerful tool. However, there is a risk that you end up believing your own disinformation, and that means that fatal decisions are taken on false premises. That is what seems to be happening in the Ukraine war. And that is extremely dangerous.

Is the Chinese economy bigger than that of the US, or is it the other way round? Both statements are repeatedly seen in the headlines of the media. The answer boils down to whether you look at GDP in market prices or you correct for what you can buy for the money (purchasing power). But there are also other ways to measure the relative strength of the two economies and the result is the same. China inevitable comes out at the top.

While the atrocities in Gaza continue, the Western powers, the alleged standard-bearers of civilisation against barbarians, continue supporting Israel unconditionally, while kindly asking Israel to please kill fewer civilians. Apart from losing credibility, they are nurturing future terrorists. We can only hope that the fact that quite a lot of decent people in the West are showing their solidarity with Palestine, despite their Governments, can limit this damage.

Thursday, 15 February 2024 18:14
Published in Politics

It is now it is becoming dangerous

As defeat is looming for NATO in Ukraine, what will NATO do? Call it quit, negotiate and try to get the best out of it – even if it will not look good? Refuse to accept the defeat and continue to the bitter end, even if that may cost tens or hundreds of thousands more lives and finally ending in losing it all? Escalate and send NATO troops to Ukraine? This is a very dangerous historic moment.

Thursday, 08 February 2024 21:35
Published in Economics and politics

Can cooperation beat the chip giants?

Two companies have presently the world market for computer chips in an iron grip: Intel/AMD and ARM. Inspired by the success of the open software movement, an open source hardware technology, called RISC-V, is now challenging this monopoly. My guess is that it will be successful, not least because more and more countries are worried about the monopolization. That is obviously the case for China and Russia, but India, Brazil and EU are also betting on RISC-V.

Sunday, 04 February 2024 20:55
Published in Economics and politics

Sometimes cooperation beats profit-seeking

We know from history that cooperation among small producers in cooperatives under certain circumstances can beat commercial private companies. But within software, another type of cooperation has appeared during the last decades. The whole thing was started by hobbyists who liked what they were doing and were cooperating which each other, despite that there was no economic benefit in it. In some areas it has proven extremely effective in challenging monopolies and bringing down excess costs for the user.

We are told by liberals, and in particular economists, that humans are selfish, and by being selfish, they are contributing in the best way to the common good. This is scientifically incorrect. Humans are of course looking for their own interests, but they are genetically also disposed for being cooperative and with a capacity of self-sacrifice – also called altruism.

Monday, 15 January 2024 23:20
Published in Politics

The new world order to come

We are in the middle of big changes in the global world order. As is often the case, it is difficult to perceive the magnitude of what is happening when you are in the middle of it. It is like not being able to see the forest for all the trees. But the changes are big, and I think the years 2023-2024 will afterwards be seen as the watershed years. The winners are the countries of the Global South, China and Russia. The main loser is the European Union.

Tuesday, 26 December 2023 23:21
Published in Economics and politics

US is losing its technology war against China

Recent events show that China has been able to overcome the US sanctions campaign against its High Tech industry. The US has reacted with a new wave of sanctions against China. This is a dead-end. It will eventually hurt the US more than China. Thank you, Mr. Biden.

Tuesday, 12 December 2023 23:07
Published in Economics and politics

The US is spending as if there is no tomorrow

The political debate in the US about new spending is bizarre. They are bickering about more money for this and for that: the military, border defence, chip production, Ukraine, Israel, you name it. The only thing that is never mentioned, is how to pay for it. And this is despite that the US is running the biggest deficit since the 2009 financial crisis and the Covid emergency. The national debt is spiralling. They are spending as if there is no tomorrow.
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