Thorbjorn Waagstein

Thorbjorn Waagstein

Thorbjørn Waagstein, Economist, PhD, since 1999 working as international Development Consultant in Latin America, Africa and Asia.

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Tuesday, 26 December 2023 23:21
Published in Economics and politics

US is losing its technology war against China

Recent events show that China has been able to overcome the US sanctions campaign against its High Tech industry. The US has reacted with a new wave of sanctions against China. This is a dead-end. It will eventually hurt the US more than China. Thank you, Mr. Biden.

Tuesday, 12 December 2023 23:07
Published in Economics and politics

The US is spending as if there is no tomorrow

The political debate in the US about new spending is bizarre. They are bickering about more money for this and for that: the military, border defence, chip production, Ukraine, Israel, you name it. The only thing that is never mentioned, is how to pay for it. And this is despite that the US is running the biggest deficit since the 2009 financial crisis and the Covid emergency. The national debt is spiralling. They are spending as if there is no tomorrow.
Thursday, 07 December 2023 18:18
Published in Politics

Why do Israeli officials keep talking about Dresden?

Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel’s current prime minister, has reminded western audiences of the mass civilian deaths caused by the Allied bombing of Dresden in 1945. Why is he doing that? What he wants to say is that “if you could, why can’t we?” Israel’s American and European friends feel uncomfortable when this comparison is made.

Saturday, 21 October 2023 21:51
Published in Politics

What to do when you take other people’s land

History tells us that countries have routinely conquered land, where other people are living, so the case of the State of Israel is not unique. But the question arrives, what to do with the people on the conquered land. Here, the State of Israel is a very peculiar case, and at the root of the Palestinian tragedy.

General Mark Milley, chairman of the US’ joint chiefs of staff, said in February 2023 that Russia has already lost ‘strategically, operationally and tactically’. The war in Ukraine is in the US seen as 'a remarkably cost-effective way to degrade Russia’s military capabilities without risking a single (American) life'. So then everything is going according to plan. Or is it?

The Russian economy has apparently resisted the ‘sanctions from hell’ which were supposed to lead to an economic collapse. This has left a lot of economists and politicians perplexed. But it is no mystery. Sanctions hurt, but they also create opportunities, particularly in big and relatively advanced countries as Russia. The reason it is so difficult for many economists to understand is that they have enclosed themselves in a narrow neoliberal universe. What is happening in Russia has an important message for developing countries.

Monday, 03 July 2023 17:37
Published in Politics

What are the Ukrainians dying for?

The loss of lives of soldiers in the Ukraine war is horrific. We don’t know how many are dying, but nobody doubts the number is terrifying high. A recent study gives us a glimpse of what is going on. It shows that 63% of the Ukrainians respond that they have at least one close relative or friend who died, 78% if we include the injured. This is insane. The US, NATO and EU say this should continue for “as long as it takes”. Do they have a good reason for letting this bloodbath continue?

Friday, 16 June 2023 23:25
Published in Politics

The garden, the jungle and the civilisers

Most of the European and North American left considers itself as guardians of universal rights and values. They are campaigning for sanctions and – if needed – military intervention against countries or “regimes” that are not living up to these universal standards, and they expect their governments, the US, EU and NATO to carry out the necessary punitive measures to enforce the standards. They haven’t noted that this is no longer possible. It is imperial overreach.

The present international financial system centred around the US dollar is under pressure from several factors: the use of the dollar to punish other countries, the inflation in the US, the increasing US indebtedness, and the appearance of digital currencies and their potential for making international payments much faster and cheaper without using the dollar. The future is probably a fragmented and regionalised international financial system and a much reduced role of the dollar. But can it work?

Central Bank Digital Currencies are coming, and even if they initially will be used only domestically, they are bound to start playing a role in international payments too. This will diminish the need for US dollars in international trade and hence also lessen the US control with the international payment system. No surprise that the US is not at all enthusiastic about this development.

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